Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 19 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Mar 2025 to 22 Mar 2025, the highest close was 10.5% on 19 Mar 2025 and the lowest 1.5% on 22 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.3 points down, to 2.2% on 21 Mar 2025. $39.51K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 5:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Mar 2025 – 22 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2025 | 10.5% |
| 22 Mar 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shabby-Occasion | No | 6.28 |
| ...j | No | 0.08 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 0.03 |
| JDULIA | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory between March 17, 2025, and March 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to an Israeli missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-retaliates-against-houthis-by-friday
| Karekken | No | 0.01 |
| milize | No | 0.01 |
| ShuRuGa | No | 0 |
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