Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.36K | $0.767 | $2.01K | +$207.15 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 464.84 | $0.510 | $237.07 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.990 |
| $99.75 |
| +$0.75 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.230 | $52.5 | -$62.5 |
 Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027? | No | 46.53 | $0.880 | $43.71 | +$2.77 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 45.5 | $0.190 | $33.9 | +$25.26 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 250 | $0.112 | $24.5 | -$3.5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 122.5 | $0.241 | $17.7 | -$11.82 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | Yes | 219.15 | $0.240 | $16.44 | -$36.16 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 13 | $0.710 | $9.3 | +$0.07 |
 California voter ID referendum passes? | Yes | 21.94 | $0.390 | $6.25 | -$2.3 |
 Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 5.33 | $0.920 | $5.31 | +$0.4 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | Yes | 4.84 | $0.870 | $4.62 | +$0.41 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 11.67 | $0.931 | $4.35 | -$6.52 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? | No | 2.8 | $0.780 | $2.77 | +$0.59 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | No | 4 | $0.760 | $2.74 | -$0.3 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.15 | $0.188 | $1.24 | +$0.27 |
 Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.180 | $1.2 | -$2.4 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 35.25 | $0.058 | $1.08 | -$0.97 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | No | 0.98 | $0.870 | $0.96 | +$0.11 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.130 | $0.93 | -$1.67 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 1.87 | $0.290 | $0.91 | +$0.37 |
 Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 60 | $0.020 | $0.9 | -$0.3 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 9.6 | $0.070 | $0.82 | +$0.14 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | No | 5.16 | $0.570 | $0.68 | -$2.27 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 0.88 | $0.500 | $0.44 | -$0 |
| sell |
| 19.01 |
| $0.060 |
| $1.14 |
| 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.560 | $279.99 | 14d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 326.32 | $0.550 | $179.48 | 14d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 128 | $0.194 | $24.83 | 14d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.76K | $0.775 | $2.14K | 14d ago |
 Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?No | sell | 299.99 | $0.940 | $281.99 | 17d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | sell | 4.8K | $0.070 | $335.97 | 17d ago |
 US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | sell | 15.21 | $0.934 | $14.21 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.035 | $14 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.149 | $1.86 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?No | sell | 8.35 | $0.150 | $1.25 | May 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.040 | $4.8 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No | sell | 28.89 | $0.959 | $27.71 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No | sell | 34.28 | $0.960 | $32.91 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No | sell | 1.82 | $0.961 | $1.75 | May 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 499.54 | $0.230 | $114.89 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 340 | $0.250 | $85 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | sell | 173.55 | $0.834 | $144.74 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.260 | $2.86 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.260 | $3.12 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.260 | $3.38 | May 6, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.260 | $3.38 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 277.53 | $0.510 | $141.54 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.260 | $6.5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes | sell | 171.58 | $0.961 | $164.89 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | sell | 365.32 | $0.820 | $299.56 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 8.69 | $0.430 | $3.74 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 39 | $0.430 | $16.77 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 53.28 | $0.270 | $14.39 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 8.69 | $0.430 | $3.74 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 18.42 | $0.430 | $7.92 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.180 | $8.1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 110.37 | $0.190 | $20.97 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 18.71 | $0.250 | $4.68 | May 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 27.87 | $0.460 | $12.82 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 210 | $0.750 | $157.5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.943 | $94.3 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | sell | 185.69 | $0.550 | $102.13 | May 6, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 117.85 | $0.944 | $111.25 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.810 | $17.82 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | sell | 24.78 | $0.969 | $24.01 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.975 | $53.63 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No | sell | 176.7 | $0.919 | $162.39 | May 6, 2026 |