Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 29% on 28 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 29% on 28 Jan 2025 and the low 0.6% on 25 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 12% on 29 Jan 2025. $271.26K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 7:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 28 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2025 | 29.0% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DGretard | Yes | 6.56K |
| heuer | Yes | 3.01K |
| MaxMeng | Yes | 2K |
| aGuyCalledJimmy | Yes | 1.72K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Since the recent ascendency of the DeepSeek AI model, rumors have been spreading that the company has made use of a large amount of Nvidia hardware that they do not report. You can find more information on that here: https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1883946417133383797 This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that DeepSeek used Nvidia hardware banned from export to China in developing an AI model by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. Government or Nvidia definitively claiming that banned Nvidia chips were used, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming their use will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, as well as official statements for the U.S. Government and Nvidia.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/deepseek-confirmed-to-have-used-banned-nvidia-chips
| Getyourhandoffmypenis | Yes | 1.01K |
| Knowledgeable-Precedent | Yes | 1K |
| Tonyt | Yes | 948.84 |
| Flickering-Album | Yes | 637.67 |
| assyrian | Yes | 580.44 |
| Aysezero | Yes | 547.62 |
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