Analytics
Resolved No on 10 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 22 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 13% on 25 Feb 2025 and the low 0.1% on 10 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 10.9% on 24 Apr 2025. $1.14M traded over the market's life.
518 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 12:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 22 Feb 2025 – 10 May 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2025 | 12.5% |
| 10 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Samuray777 | Yes | 38.63K |
| Blubba | Yes | 3.48K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 2.56K |
| ItzFxZz | Yes | 1.55K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
If U.S. President Donald Trump is in the Russian Federation at any point on the date of May 9, 2025, Moscow Standard Time (GMT+3), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, Trump must physically be in the terrestrial or maritime territory of the Russian Federation. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-visit-russia-by-may-9
| Emilio710 | Yes | 1.2K |
| doserdar | Yes | 1.2K |
| Marinel118 | Yes | 1K |
| Jacobluke | Yes | 1K |
| Almawi | Yes | 1K |
| ArthurGreen | Yes | 794.22 |
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