Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 20% on 11 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 11 Jan 2025 to 19 Mar 2025, the highest close was 100% on 19 Mar 2025 and the lowest 15% on 15 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 60 points up, to 99.5% on 16 Mar 2025. $9.82M traded over the market's life.
79 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 12:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 11 Jan 2025 – 19 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2025 | 20.0% |
| 19 Mar 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Amber Pioneer 7593 | No | 2.33M |
| Melody626 | No | 57.94K |
| johninv | No | 29.95K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S government funding lapse occurs on March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by March 14, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" any funding lapse will count. If only a portion of the US government is covered by any signed bill(s) extending funding of the US government, and a portion of the US government goes unfunded, this market will still resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-government-funding-lapse-on-march-15
| No |
| 24.11K |
| DiggerW | No | 12.6K |
| meerkat3000 | No | 12.23K |
| phaproduction | No | 11.6K |
| bazil1o | No | 5K |
| vlad234 | No | 4.34K |
| Light35 | No | 3.89K |
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