Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 24 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 98 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 74% on 13 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 62 points down, to 4.5% on 9 Apr 2025. $2.32M traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 8:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 98 points, 24 Jan 2025 – 1 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2025 | 28.5% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Markus.Kohl | Yes | 1.36K |
| piratetrades | Yes | 1.04K |
| mossypiglet | Yes | 357.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On January 20, 2025, President Trump signed an executive order delaying enforcement of the Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act, which bans TikTok in the United States (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/application-of-protecting-americans-from-foreign-adversary-controlled-applications-act-to-tiktok/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S. government ban that prohibits access or use of the TikTok app by the majority of Americans in the United States becomes legally enforceable for any amount of time between January 22, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Trump’s executive order delaying enforcement of the ban expires or is removed without TikTok coming into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether enforcement action is taken by the U.S. government. If TikTok is sold to another entity in such a way that it comes into compliance with U.S. laws and regulations this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tiktok-banned-again-before-may
| Yes |
| 317.21 |
| SimpleRain | Yes | 214.38 |
| David. | No | 147.06 |
| rish420 | Yes | 75.76 |
| Royal-Vista | Yes | 60.03 |
| Janin | Yes | 52.64 |
| Jamesn338 | Yes | 42.54 |
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