Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 37% on 5 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2025 to 9 Mar 2025, the highest close was 66% on 6 Mar 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 8 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 65 points down, to 1.4% on 7 Mar 2025. $1.09M traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 10, 3:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 5 Mar 2025 – 9 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2025 | 37.0% |
| 9 Mar 2025 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| empirebuilding | Yes | 45.75K |
| TongLongLC | Yes | 22.95K |
| Larik293 | Yes | 10.5K |
| mcnugget14 | Yes | 9.27K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which removes, suspends, or lowers tariffs on Canada or Mexico by March 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Any modification of exiting tariffs which is reported as decreasing the total amount of tariffs (measured in dollar value) will qualify regardless of how the reduction is structured. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-reduce-tariffs-on-mexico-or-canada-by-wedneday
| Vedal | Yes | 7.27K |
| smrtgmblr | Yes | 3.9K |
| Alexcn21 | Yes | 3.02K |
| TheRoliz | Yes | 902.34 |
| slytron | Yes | 785.6 |
| Htx | Yes | 240.6 |
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