Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 8 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 5.5% on 8 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Mar 2025. $32.23K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 8:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 8 Feb 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2025 | 5.5% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| joetarded | Yes | 1.46K |
| tachdoc | Yes | 575.42 |
| gdfgdfgdfgdf | Yes | 14.29 |
| TimEulenspiegel | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On February 6, the Israeli Minister of Defense, Israel Katz, posted that Spain, Ireland, and Norway are legally obligated to take Gazan refugees (https://x.com/Israel_katz/status/1887416931365314902). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Spain, Ireland, or Norway announces a plan to accept Gazan refugees between February 5 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the governments of Ireland, Norway, and Spain, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ireland-norway-or-spain-accepts-gazan-refugees-in-february
| Justitia | No | 0.03 |
| Parz1vaI | No | 0.02 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 0.02 |
| testeman | No | 0.01 |
| geinagorin | No | 0.01 |
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