Latest trade
Nov 3, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:58 AM UTC.
Analytics
kaiye is down $101.04 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 24 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Nov 3, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:58 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 38 markets; 92.0% were buys. They run from Nov 19, 2024 UTC to Nov 3, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-06 09:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 06:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 06:58 UTC
polymarket positions
26 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-06 09:31 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $38.83 and losing ones cost $82.94 across 24 settled positions. 66.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $11.33 on “Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?” (Yes); the largest loss, $31 on “Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Nov 2025. It has traded 40 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 3.33 |
| $0.300 |
| $1 |
| Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.972 | $2 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.009 | $1.01 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.553 | $1.15 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.004 | $4.66 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.004 | $3 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
 GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | sell | 21.27 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during Japan troop visit on October 28?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Oct 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.479 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.489 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Tether insolvent in 2025?No | sell | 10.98 | $0.984 | $10.8 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 SBF released from custody in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Football.Fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberNo | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Opensea token market cap (FDV) $10-15b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 109 | $0.009 | $1 | May 30, 2025 UTC |
| Opensea token market cap (FDV) $3-5b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | May 30, 2025 UTC |
| Opensea token market cap (FDV) $1-3b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | May 30, 2025 UTC |
| OpenSea token market cap (FDV) <$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 34.38 | $0.029 | $1 | May 30, 2025 UTC |
 OpenSea airdrop before July?Yes | buy | 89.04 | $0.124 | $11 | May 30, 2025 UTC |
| OpenSea airdrop before July?Yes | buy | 89.3 | $0.123 | $11 | May 30, 2025 UTC |
| Opensea token market cap (FDV) $5-10b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 96.21 | $0.010 | $1 | May 30, 2025 UTC |
| Tether insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jan 5, 2025 UTC |
 Ripple ETF approved in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jan 5, 2025 UTC |
 Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 22.41 | $0.893 | $20 | Jan 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?100k | sell | 80.57 | $0.741 | $59.7 | Jan 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?No | buy | 102.25 | $0.978 | $100 | Dec 31, 2024 UTC |
 Solana above $185 on January 3?Yes | buy | 19.48 | $0.770 | $15 | Dec 31, 2024 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?100k | buy | 80.58 | $0.621 | $50 | Dec 31, 2024 UTC |
 Will Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will none of the named coins be listed on Binance in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?Yes | buy | 221.27 | $0.045 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
| Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Biden pardon Julian Assange?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Nov 19, 2024 UTC |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 84.62 | $0.130 | $11 | Nov 19, 2024 UTC |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.80 before December?Yes | buy | 244.85 | $0.082 | $20 | Nov 19, 2024 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Nov 19, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.