Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 20 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 105 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 56.5% on 29 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 42% on 30 Sep 2025. $6.18M traded over the market's life.
868 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 105 points, 20 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | 43.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| db0xy | Yes | 93.98K |
| hardybonzo | Yes | 63.22K |
| Namurukuru | Yes | 37.6K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metamask officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-metamask-launch-a-token-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| appl09 | Yes | 20.05K |
| Fllny | Yes | 20K |
| TwoEyes | Yes | 13.42K |
| loosygoose | Yes | 13K |
| anta | Yes | 12.35K |
| syngie | Yes | 10.92K |
| sergejka | Yes | 10.46K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
