Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 72.5%. Yes opened at 78.5% on 30 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2025 to 5 Nov 2025, the highest close was 78.5% on 30 Oct 2025 and the lowest 70% on 31 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 70% on 31 Oct 2025. $17.58K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 30 Oct 2025 – 5 Nov 2025, chart shows 65%–85%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2025 | 78.5% |
| 5 Nov 2025 | 72.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| seekingomega | No | 1K |
| cevvh14 | No | 402 |
| Threadbare-Bond | No | 370 |
| awarexyz | No | 330.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks at the America Business Forum on November 5 (see https://refreshmiami.com/news/president-trump-to-speak-at-upcoming-america-business-forum/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Trump's appearance at the specified event on November 5, 2025 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by November 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-at-the-america-business-forum-on-november-5
| Evil-Miniskirt | No | 230.18 |
| A200111 | No | 199.54 |
| BadFalleN4u | No | 131.58 |
| dr.no | No | 111.11 |
| assertequal | No | 66 |
| Ethandu30 | No | 49.4 |
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