Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 21 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 23.5% on 21 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 30 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 13% on 17 Jan 2025. $90.9K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 12:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 194 points, 21 Dec 2024 – 2 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2024 | 15.5% |
| 2 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 33.25K |
| dsvawgvs | Yes | 200 |
| Conventional-Border | Yes | 200 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is less than $1,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/opensea-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch
| rising | Yes | 173.54 |
| windrush | Yes | 132 |
| Anon0o | Yes | 131.25 |
| Moodeng1 | Yes | 100 |
| Stupendous-Cupcake | Yes | 70 |
| kaiye | Yes | 34.38 |
| katkang | Yes | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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