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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.33 |
| $0.300 |
| $1 |
| Nov 3, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.972 | $2 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.009 | $1.01 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.553 | $1.15 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.004 | $4.66 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.004 | $3 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | sell | 21.27 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.479 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.489 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Tether insolvent in 2025?No | sell | 10.98 | $0.984 | $10.8 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 SBF released from custody in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Football.Fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberNo | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Opensea token market cap (FDV) $10-15b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 109 | $0.009 | $1 | May 30, 2025 |
| Opensea token market cap (FDV) $3-5b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | May 30, 2025 |
| Opensea token market cap (FDV) $1-3b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | May 30, 2025 |
| OpenSea token market cap (FDV) <$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 34.38 | $0.029 | $1 | May 30, 2025 |
 OpenSea airdrop before July?Yes | buy | 89.04 | $0.124 | $11 | May 30, 2025 |
| OpenSea airdrop before July?Yes | buy | 89.3 | $0.123 | $11 | May 30, 2025 |
| Opensea token market cap (FDV) $5-10b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 96.21 | $0.010 | $1 | May 30, 2025 |
| Tether insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Ripple ETF approved in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 22.41 | $0.893 | $20 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?100k | sell | 80.57 | $0.741 | $59.7 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?No | buy | 102.25 | $0.978 | $100 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Solana above $185 on January 3?Yes | buy | 19.48 | $0.770 | $15 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?100k | buy | 80.58 | $0.621 | $50 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Will Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will none of the named coins be listed on Binance in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?Yes | buy | 221.27 | $0.045 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Julian Assange?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 84.62 | $0.130 | $11 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.80 before December?Yes | buy | 244.85 | $0.082 | $20 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Nov 8, 2024 |