Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 64.5% on 31 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 152 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 91% on 14 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 29 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 4.1% on 6 May 2025. $137.34K traded over the market's life.
172 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 152 points, 31 Jan 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2025 | 64.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 2.9K |
| weqeqweqwe | Yes | 2.61K |
| IXJDGF | Yes | 999.98 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenSea launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the OpenSea team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/opensea-airdrop-before-july-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 959.92 |
| Jazdaztym | Yes | 875.03 |
| morfius-088 | Yes | 595.93 |
| fangksbin | Yes | 469.69 |
| suhwan | Yes | 219.97 |
| kaiye | Yes | 178.34 |
| ShangYeHui | No | 170.93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
