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Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 21 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 54.5% on 21 Dec 2024 and the low 0.1% on 30 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 30.5% on 23 Dec 2024. $106K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 8:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 193 points, 21 Dec 2024 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2024 | 54.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 33.25K |
| nikeledone | Yes | 1.47K |
| maxodoevskiy | Yes | 1.4K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea’s token is between $1,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $3,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. “1 day after launch” is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn’t launch a token by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/opensea-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch
New to prediction markets?
| SirShrek69 | Yes | 499.67 |
| windrush | Yes | 373.93 |
| whoknowss | Yes | 353.6 |
| OverHigh | Yes | 156.57 |
| jizzhut | Yes | 99.76 |
| Cajetan | Yes | 62.69 |
| Stupendous-Cupcake | Yes | 58.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard