Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 11% on 30 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 369 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2024 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 11% on 30 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 28 Dec 2025. $606.79K traded over the market's life.
252 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 369 points, 30 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2024 | 11.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| funding | Yes | 10K |
| Royal Pioneer 64D8 | Yes | 7.5K |
| yes man | Yes | 6.77K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if official information released by Tether Limited Inc., official representatives of Tether Limited Inc. (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that Tether Limited Inc. is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tether-insolvent-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Solapump | No | 1.79K |
| FutureTripper | Yes | 1.1K |
| ssshaw | Yes | 1K |
| Indigo Signal F0D4 | Yes | 535.63 |
| pemulis212 | Yes | 454.55 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 450 |
| Rapid Orbit 3FCF | Yes | 368.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
