Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?

cryptoResolved

100k, settled Jan 6, 2025 UTC

90k

0.0%

100k

100.0%

Final 90k 0¢Final 100k 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.0M

Resolved

100k

Settled

Jan 6, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved 100k on 6 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had 100k at 84.7%. The 90k side opened at 48% on 24 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2024 to 6 Jan 2025, the highest close was 68% on 31 Dec 2024 and the lowest 8% on 26 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 41.1% on 27 Dec 2024. $3M traded over the market's life.

178 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 5:19 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the 90k price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 24 Dec 2024 – 6 Jan 2025

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Periodic-Promotion	90k	20.02K
coinai	90k	6.99K
dzen4master	90k	5.8K
Black01	90k	4.31K

10 of 178 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market on whether Bitcoin ($BTC) will first reach $90,000.00 or $100,000.00 between December 23, 2024, 2 PM ET, and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "90k" if $BTC drops to $90,000.00 or less first within the market timeframe. This market will resolve to "100k" if $BTC reaches $100,000.00 or more first within the market timeframe. If the price of $BTC neither drops to $90,000.00 or below nor reaches $100,000.00 or more within the market timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.