Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Jan 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$6.2M

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 24 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 87% on 26 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 42.5% on 27 Dec 2024. $6.23M traded over the market's life.

266 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 7:53 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 24 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2025

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
mango0x	Yes	17.33K
DoctorDegen	Yes	11.17K
Sexylobster	Yes	7.5K
AndreXTRM	Yes	7.42K

10 of 266 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 23, 2024, 14:50 and December 31, 2024, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $100,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.