Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 13?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.999 | $6.03 | May 14, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 4.83 |
| $0.997 |
| $4.82 |
| May 13, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 6-12?Yes | buy | 3.81 | $0.992 | $3.78 | May 12, 2025 |
 Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?Yes | buy | 8.36 | $0.999 | $8.35 | May 9, 2025 |
 Ukraine lowers conscription age before May 9?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.997 | $3.4 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.999 | $5.28 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Chinese soldier caught in Ukraine before May?No | buy | 2.85 | $0.997 | $2.84 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Trump cuts taxes in first 100 days?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.999 | $5.24 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in his first 100 days?No | buy | 4.98 | $0.999 | $4.98 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?No | buy | 4.2 | $0.999 | $4.2 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Trump announces the US is giving up NATO command before May?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.999 | $3.7 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 25?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.998 | $5.25 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 2025 March hottest on record?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.998 | $5.36 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will egg prices drop this week?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.999 | $5.89 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?No | buy | 4.1 | $0.991 | $4.06 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 23?No | buy | 15.04 | $0.996 | $14.98 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship?No | buy | 9.35 | $0.994 | $9.29 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 13?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.998 | $8.07 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine take responsibility for X attack by Friday?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.999 | $3.67 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 3.86 | $0.998 | $3.85 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Did Kanye sell his twitter account?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.990 | $2.11 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 5.85 | $0.998 | $5.84 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?No | buy | 3.65 | $0.998 | $3.64 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.998 | $1.4 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.992 | $1.6 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?No | buy | 3.62 | $0.997 | $3.61 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be 33°F or below on March 3?No | buy | 4.46 | $0.999 | $4.46 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No | sell | 700.7 | $0.997 | $698.7 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No | buy | 700.7 | $0.999 | $700 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No | sell | 900.9 | $0.998 | $899.1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Anita Anand be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No | buy | 900.9 | $0.999 | $900 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU win more seats than SPD and Greens?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.999 | $2.11 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan before March?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.989 | $2.8 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 19?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.990 | $2.39 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 18?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.981 | $2.96 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 17?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.999 | $1.98 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.978 | $1.99 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.984 | $1.42 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 16?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.999 | $1.82 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?No | buy | 4.31 | $0.981 | $4.23 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will the House pass a budget resolution by Friday?No | buy | 7.78 | $0.999 | $7.77 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by February 14?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.989 | $3.15 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.995 | $6.04 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 AfD banned before German election?No | buy | 4.87 | $0.996 | $4.85 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on February 11?Yes | buy | 6.22 | $0.997 | $6.2 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Biden resign before inauguration?No | buy | 26.03 | $0.999 | $26 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 103.38 | $0.997 | $103.07 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 12.12 | $0.990 | $12 | Dec 13, 2024 |