Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 30% on 7 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 83 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2025 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 30% on 7 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 23% on 18 Feb 2025. $81.38K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 7 Feb 2025 – 30 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2025 | 30.0% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gambler5000 | Yes | 9.02K |
| Instructive-Dispatch | Yes | 2K |
| EyesWideOpen911 | Yes | 646.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill is signed into law by Donald Trump that reduces or removes US federal taxes of any kind or renews/extends expiring tax cuts by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-cuts-taxes-in-first-100-days
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 481.96 |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 350 |
| SHABUN85 | Yes | 272.73 |
| Tkgorilla | Yes | 69.66 |
| MR03 | Yes | 66.67 |
| 1236543 | Yes | 27.24 |
| Limetime42 | Yes | 3 |
