Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 1.3% on 19 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Mar 2025 to 22 Mar 2025, the highest close was 1.3% on 19 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Mar 2025. $137.25K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 11:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Mar 2025 – 22 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2025 | 1.3% |
| 22 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GayPride | Yes | 2K |
| Valid-Caption | Yes | 183.82 |
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 0.08 |
| Geromi |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On March 17, Saudi news reports claimed Iranian intel ship Zagros (SIGINT) was sunk by U.S. forces (see: https://x.com/emilykschrader/status/1901792937283092581). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Iranian ship Zagros is confirmed to have been struck by kinetic action taken by the US military by March 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fact-check-did-the-us-hit-iranian-spy-ship
| No |
| 0.02 |
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