Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8% on 18 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 350 daily closes on record from 18 Jan 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 20.9% on 28 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 20.9% on 28 Apr 2024. $6.19M traded over the market's life.
585 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 7:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 350 points, 18 Jan 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2024 | 8.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nfi | Yes | 90.43K |
| Donald Trump | Yes | 13.15K |
| Sniper123 | Yes | 7.85K |
This is a market on whether the market capitalization of $USDC (USD Coin) will surpass that of $USDT (Tether) within this market's timeframe, according to CoinGecko. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data. This market's timeframe spans from January 1, 2024 to December 31, 2024 (inclusive). If, according to the resolution source, $USDC has a greater market cap than $USDT for any day within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the market cap of $USDC is equal to or lower than that of $USDT for every day within this market's timeframe, then this market will resolve to “No”. This market may only resolve to "No" once the December 31 market cap data is available. Note that only the historical data numbers will be used for the comparison of the market caps. If the URLs linking to CoinGecko's Historical Data change at any point, the new URLs will be used instead of the ones initially listed. If the resolution data for any of the relevant days remains unavailable through January 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, CoinMarketCap historical data will be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-usdc-flip-usdt-in-market-cap-in-2024
| tturs | Yes | 4.83K |
| Jimmy68 | Yes | 1.41K |
| feixugou | Yes | 1.02K |
| xiaossanjia | Yes | 1K |
| maxeras | Yes | 1K |
| mafeifeifei | Yes | 1K |
| figuermelani | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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