Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 7% on 19 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 19 Mar 2025 to 4 Apr 2025, the highest close was 7% on 19 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.3 points down, to 1.3% on 21 Mar 2025. $118.88K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 9:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 19 Mar 2025 – 4 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2025 | 7.0% |
| 4 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gambler5000 | Yes | 2.97K |
| Trodan | Yes | 561.33 |
| Yoss1989 | Yes | 560 |
| henrysaahkk | Yes | 530 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which is aimed at or otherwise has the effect of suspending or canceling all military aid to Ukraine between March 18 2:00 ET and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any action taken by Trump or his administration which either officially institutes a policy of ending military aid to Ukraine, or otherwise has the effect of ending military aid to Ukraine will qualify regardless of if/when the enacted policy goes into effect. Temporary suspensions of all military aid will qualify. Any law or executive action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-ends-all-military-aid-to-ukraine-before-april-3-18
| kululi | Yes | 350 |
| Customluger | Yes | 212.2 |
| maxheid | Yes | 200 |
| funnybunny | Yes | 67.33 |
| yeppers | Yes | 50 |
| Inz | Yes | 45.4 |
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