Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.120 | $2.71 | -$2.29 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 493.14 |
| $0.041 |
| $20 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | buy | 31.13 | $0.161 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 1?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.953 | $41.42 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.800 | $44.44 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 27?No | buy | 222.59 | $0.009 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3PM ETDown | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Yes | buy | 95.45 | $0.220 | $21 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?Down | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | May 7, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?Up | buy | 255.81 | $0.043 | $11 | May 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?Down | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15?Down | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?No | buy | 51.85 | $0.270 | $14 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Alain Claude Bilie By Nze win the 2025 Gabonese Presidential election?Yes | buy | 203.34 | $0.010 | $2 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will SOL flip ETH before May?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Solana all time high in April?Yes | buy | 151.22 | $0.020 | $3 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.045 | $5 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11?Down | buy | 6K | $0.001 | $6 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?Down | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on April 8?Up | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8?Down | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 3?Up | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "bigly" by March 28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.014 | $0.14 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iranian nuclear facility in March?Yes | buy | 187.22 | $0.027 | $5 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before April?Yes | buy | 122.65 | $0.049 | $6 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on March 24?Down | buy | 267.75 | $0.006 | $1.61 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on March 24?Down | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.015 | $3 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24?Down | buy | 937.5 | $0.007 | $7 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Solana all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin March 18-24?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Another crypto hack over $1b before April?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Bybit insolvent before April?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy buy 200+ Bitcoin in next purchase?No | buy | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 198.26 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Andrew Tate arrested before April?Yes | buy | 221.05 | $0.018 | $4 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Trump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet?Yes | buy | 239.19 | $0.013 | $3 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign 10-14 executive orders in March?Yes | buy | 387.5 | $0.008 | $3 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?Yes | buy | 205.18 | $0.015 | $3 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA before April?Yes | buy | 147.62 | $0.020 | $3 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Israeli military action against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 159.66 | $0.031 | $5 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Ontario resume electricity surcharge to the U.S. by next Friday?Yes | buy | 223.92 | $0.013 | $3 | Mar 18, 2025 |