Will SOL flip ETH before May?

cryptoResolved

No, settled May 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.2M

Resolved

Settled

May 1, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 May 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6% on 23 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 99 daily closes on record from 23 Jan 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 7.1% on 25 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Apr 2025. $1.18M traded over the market's life.

174 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 2, 12:22 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 99 points, 23 Jan 2025 – 1 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
BabyYoda12	Yes	3.9K
callmeCZ	Yes	1.5K
maxheid	Yes	1.15K

10 of 174 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market on whether the market capitalization of Solana (SOL) will surpass that of Ethereum (ETH) within this market's timeframe, according to CoinGecko. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum respectively. This market's timeframe spans from January 22, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, to April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). This market will resolve to "Yes" if at any point within this market's timeframe SOL has a greater market cap than ETH according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data through May 1, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.