Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 37% on 16 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 37% on 16 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 8 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 16.5% on 17 Jan 2025. $94K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 10, 6:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 53 points · 16 Jan 2025 – 9 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2025 | 37.0% |
| 9 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On January 15, Israel reportedly signed an agreement stipulating that they withdraw completely from the Philadelphi corridor "no later than the 50th day after the deal comes into effect" (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/1/15/what-do-we-know-about-the-israel-gaza-ceasefire-deal) . This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from the Philadelphi corridor in Gaza between January 15 and March 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have completely withdrawn from the Philadelphi corridor in Gaza, regardless of whether some Israeli ground forces remain in the Philadelphi corridor in Gaza. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israel-withdraw-from-philadelphi-corridor-by-march-8
| Aharoni1 | Yes | 7.14 |
| cervenab | No | 2.15 |
| tina11 | No | 2.03 |
| barroneric | No | 1.6 |
| rodriguezjose | No | 1.32 |
| zinarn | No | 1.23 |
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