Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 39% on 30 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2025 to 15 Feb 2025, the highest close was 39% on 30 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 14 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 26% on 31 Jan 2025. $50.26K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 16, 5:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 30 Jan 2025 – 15 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2025 | 39.0% |
| 15 Feb 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dsytfg | Yes | 2.27K |
| fgsgrfds | Yes | 3.7 |
| ilovepolicy | No | 0.04 |
| nanulo | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile test between January 29, 3:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-korea-missile-test-by-february-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 411 | No | 0.02 |
| ExhaustedBoyBilly | No | 0.02 |
| testeman | No | 0.02 |
