Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.059 | $14.75 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 253.69 |
| $0.110 |
| $27.91 |
| Jul 2, 2025 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?Yes | sell | 119.3 | $0.130 | $15.51 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.001 | $0 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.006 | $0.6 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?Yes | sell | 2.71K | $0.001 | $2.71 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June 22?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.004 | $0.6 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?Yes | sell | 242.5 | $0.011 | $2.62 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?Yes | sell | 366.5 | $0.030 | $11 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?Yes | sell | 282.31 | $0.001 | $0.28 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 India-Pakistan declare war before June?Yes | sell | 1.49K | $0.001 | $1.49 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?Yes | sell | 282.31 | $0.018 | $5.08 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Pakistan invade India before July?Yes | sell | 242.9 | $0.040 | $9.72 | May 24, 2025 |
| China x Philippines military clash by June 30?Yes | sell | 146.7 | $0.012 | $1.78 | May 21, 2025 |
 Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.12 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | May 16, 2025 |
| Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.070 | $35 | May 13, 2025 |
 US forces in Yemen in 2025?Yes | sell | 922.54 | $0.080 | $73.8 | May 13, 2025 |
| US forces in Yemen in 2025?Yes | sell | 375 | $0.110 | $41.25 | May 12, 2025 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?Yes | buy | 177.07 | $0.120 | $21.25 | May 11, 2025 |
| China x Philippines military clash by June 30?Yes | buy | 46.55 | $0.023 | $1.07 | May 11, 2025 |
| China x Philippines military clash by June 30?Yes | buy | 100.15 | $0.017 | $1.7 | May 11, 2025 |
| US forces in Yemen in 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | May 11, 2025 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.050 | $25 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Pakistan invade India before July?Yes | buy | 243 | $0.070 | $17.01 | May 10, 2025 |
| US forces in Yemen in 2025?Yes | sell | 193 | $0.110 | $21.23 | May 10, 2025 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?Yes | buy | 293.83 | $0.110 | $32.32 | May 10, 2025 |
| US forces in Yemen in 2025?Yes | sell | 190 | $0.110 | $20.9 | May 10, 2025 |
| India-Pakistan declare war before June?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.033 | $66 | May 10, 2025 |
| India-Pakistan declare war before June?Yes | buy | 563 | $0.160 | $90.08 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | sell | 270 | $0.180 | $48.6 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.140 | $98 | May 8, 2025 |
 Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.310 | $93 | May 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.016 | $18.33 | May 6, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | May 6, 2025 |
 Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?Yes | sell | 659.38 | $0.190 | $125.28 | May 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?Yes | buy | 858.05 | $0.012 | $10.63 | May 3, 2025 |
| Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?Yes | sell | 194.67 | $0.060 | $11.68 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?No | sell | 2.64K | $0.001 | $2.64 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?No | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?No | buy | 205 | $0.080 | $16.4 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | sell | 16.85 | $0.530 | $8.93 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in April?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.036 | $36 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.021 | $0.02 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.060 | $54 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran in April?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.015 | $0.02 | Apr 27, 2025 |