Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 12.24 | $0.967 | $11.69 | -$0.15 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran nuclear test before 2027?No | buy | 12.24 | $0.967 | $11.84 | 4d ago |
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| sell |
| 12.14 |
| $0.964 |
| $11.7 |
| 4d ago |
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.15 | $0.963 | $11.7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.52 | $0.970 | $11.17 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.53 | $0.963 | $11.1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.930 | $1.26 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.950 | $1.3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?No | buy | 4.75 | $0.993 | $4.72 | May 18, 2026 |
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No | sell | 10.05 | $0.967 | $9.72 | May 18, 2026 |
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.960 | $9.65 | May 14, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.975 | $12.5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 13.08 | $0.955 | $12.49 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | buy | 13.09 | $0.971 | $12.71 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | sell | 12.83 | $0.991 | $12.71 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | buy | 12.84 | $0.987 | $12.67 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?No | sell | 13.41 | $0.945 | $12.67 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?No | buy | 13.42 | $0.971 | $13.03 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.995 | $7 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 13?Yes | buy | 511 | $0.010 | $5.11 | Jan 13, 2026 |
AFD deaths foul play confirmed in 2025?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.988 | $5.05 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 42.5 on December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.997 | $5.03 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Snapchat acquired in 2025?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.977 | $5.03 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Snapchat acquired in 2025?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.976 | $5.03 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of November?No | sell | 5.92 | $0.850 | $5.03 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of November?No | buy | 5.93 | $0.950 | $5.63 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will the price of XRP be between $2.60 and $2.70 on November 1?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.993 | $5.59 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Trump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?No | buy | 5.59 | $0.990 | $5.53 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Drake release an album by October 24?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.992 | $3.36 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will the price of XRP be between $2.80 and $2.90 on October 16?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.993 | $2.13 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 15?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.995 | $1.43 | Feb 21, 2025 |
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.999 | $1.66 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?No | buy | 3.59 | $0.974 | $3.5 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.984 | $1.59 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.968 | $1.38 | Dec 12, 2024 |
2024 November hottest on record?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.980 | $1.52 | Dec 1, 2024 |
Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.996 | $1.09 | Nov 24, 2024 |
Fed rate hike in 2024?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.985 | $3.46 | Nov 24, 2024 |
Will Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 21.23K | $0.001 | $21.23 | Nov 17, 2024 |
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | buy | 21.23K | $0.001 | $21.23 | Nov 16, 2024 |
House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 1.38 | $0.998 | $1.38 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.998 | $2.23 | Nov 9, 2024 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | sell | 3.13K | $0.997 | $3.12K | Oct 21, 2024 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 3.13K | $0.998 | $3.12K | Oct 21, 2024 |
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?No | sell | 3.13K | $0.997 | $3.12K | Oct 21, 2024 |
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?No | buy | 3.13K | $0.998 | $3.12K | Oct 21, 2024 |
U.S. military strike on Lebanon before November?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.973 | $1.07 | Oct 18, 2024 |
US GDP declines in Q3 2024?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.987 | $1.21 | Oct 18, 2024 |
Subway World Series?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.960 | $0.97 | Oct 18, 2024 |
2024 September hottest on record?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.989 | $1.48 | Oct 18, 2024 |