Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.8%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 25 Oct 2025, the highest close was 37% on 23 Oct 2025 and the lowest 2.2% on 21 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 37% on 23 Oct 2025. $13.14K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 25 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 36.5% |
| 25 Oct 2025 | 24.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.47K |
| sb911 | Yes | 224.88 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 183 |
| dyonvv | Yes | 127.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Drake’s birthday is on October 24, a date he often references in his music and occasionally aligns with major releases. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases a new album by October 24, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is made officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) before that date. The resolution source will be any official Drake streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-drake-release-an-album-by-october-24
| max999 | Yes | 49.99 |
| CCj1kgfg4h | Yes | 27.27 |
| matty18 | Yes | 20 |
| Which-Ancestor | Yes | 10 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 5 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 5 |
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