Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 5 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 5 Jan 2026 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 46.5% on 5 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 7.5% on 6 Jan 2026. $326.04K traded over the market's life.
194 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 5 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2026 | 46.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zarapogo | Yes | 7.84K |
| m029 | Yes | 4.98K |
| Mapl369 | Yes | 2.71K |
| Aaaaaguess | Yes | 1.9K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On January 3, 2026, Nicolás Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra". This market will resolve to "Yes" if a trial start date in the indictment against Nicolás Maduro is scheduled by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the judge schedules a trial date within this market’s timeframe, this will suffice for resolution regardless of the actual date on which the trial is set to begin. If the trial date is subsequently moved, it will have no effect on the outcome of this market. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/maduro-trial-scheduled-by-january-31
| BigMan007 | Yes | 1.67K |
| hazardfree | Yes | 1.44K |
| Trusting-Comics | Yes | 1.35K |
| Automatic-Seaside | Yes | 1.26K |
| Ron.28 | Yes | 1.07K |
| Proud-Enthusiasm | Yes | 943.01 |
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