
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90%. Yes opened at 23% on 15 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2024 to 21 Oct 2024, the highest close was 35% on 16 Oct 2024 and the lowest 10% on 21 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 17.5% on 18 Oct 2024. $830.65K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 11:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 15 Oct 2024 – 21 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2024 | 23.0% |
| 21 Oct 2024 | 10.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| huij | Yes | 3.55 |
| 1000m | Yes | 3.43 |
| HELLOW3W | Yes | 2.86 |
| rafperesro1985 | No | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This Market refers to the 2024 MLB Playoffs. If the New York Yankees defeat the Cleveland Guardians in the American League Championship Series AND the New York Mets defeat the Los Angeles Dodgers in the National League Championship Series, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for both of these teams to advance to the World Series (i.e. either team loses their respective league championship series), this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be MLB.com.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/subway-series
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page