Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 26 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 237 daily closes on record from 26 Apr 2024 to 18 Dec 2024, the highest close was 18.5% on 26 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 14 Dec 2024. $1.49M traded over the market's life.
551 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 19, 6:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 237 points, 26 Apr 2024 – 18 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2024 | 18.5% |
| 18 Dec 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| YPeSGI7Nlo | Yes | 16.03K |
| Beautiful-Diamond | Yes | 4K |
| GiulianoB | Yes | 1.94K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between April 25 and December 18, 2024's Fed meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate changes information following its December 18 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-hike-in-2024
| purplepanda | Yes | 1.43K |
| nicolas.acosta | Yes | 1K |
| phroge | Yes | 899.95 |
| mido45 | Yes | 500 |
| cceye | Yes | 442.86 |
| NonIranian | Yes | 392.87 |
| nman5k | Yes | 322.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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