Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 9.6% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 191 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 11.7% on 8 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 11.7% on 8 May 2026. $130.97K traded over the market's life.
70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 6:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 191 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 9.6% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| labistiiia | Yes | 956.61 |
| acal | Yes | 853.98 |
| norealtime | Yes | 706.51 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify. If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/timothy-chalamet-confirmed-to-be-esdeekid-by-june-30
| ACara | Yes | 625.54 |
| Losabia | Yes | 379.6 |
| Wide-Consumption | Yes | 274.3 |
| jeli8 | Yes | 231.23 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 209.37 |
| mccca123 | Yes | 195.47 |
| 88888888888888888 | Yes | 160 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
