Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 13?No | buy | 6 | $0.998 | $5.99 | May 14, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 7.04 |
| $0.984 |
| $6.93 |
| May 13, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 11?No | buy | 7.7 | $0.999 | $7.69 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 43.0% on May 9?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.999 | $8.64 | May 9, 2025 |
 Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?Yes | buy | 7.53 | $0.999 | $7.52 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4?No | buy | 15.35 | $0.999 | $15.33 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 4.13 | $0.993 | $4.1 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.999 | $3.37 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 FDA revokes polio vaccine in Trump's first 100 days?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.998 | $5.34 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.992 | $3.34 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 24?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.989 | $4.71 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.999 | $3.94 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.996 | $6.35 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 2025 March hottest on record?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.999 | $3.67 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Abdullah Öcalan be freed before April?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.998 | $7.28 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 PKK removed from U.S. terror list before April?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.999 | $5.22 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will egg prices drop this week?Yes | buy | 3.96 | $0.999 | $3.96 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Ontario resume electricity surcharge to the U.S. by next Friday?No | buy | 6.29 | $0.997 | $6.27 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.988 | $5.24 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 16?No | buy | 6.21 | $0.994 | $6.17 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 12?No | buy | 4.49 | $0.997 | $4.48 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will egg prices be between $4.50 and $4.75 in February?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.999 | $5.37 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 New Epstein names released by Friday?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.979 | $1.11 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Friday?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.989 | $2.68 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.990 | $2.11 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.998 | $1.06 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?No | buy | 2.59 | $0.997 | $2.58 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.988 | $2.16 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be 44°F or higher on March 3?No | buy | 7.64 | $0.998 | $7.62 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 12.41 | $0.987 | $12.25 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Aaron Rodgers leave the Jets?Yes | sell | 400.8 | $0.996 | $399.2 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Aaron Rodgers leave the Jets?Yes | buy | 400.8 | $0.998 | $400 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Aaron Rodgers leave the Jets?Yes | sell | 601.2 | $0.997 | $599.4 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Aaron Rodgers leave the Jets?Yes | buy | 601.2 | $0.998 | $600 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on China before March?No | buy | 2.66 | $0.989 | $2.63 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Ireland, Norway, or Spain accepts Gazan refugees in February?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.993 | $1.59 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 19?Yes | buy | 2.43 | $0.990 | $2.41 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March?No | buy | 2.65 | $0.997 | $2.64 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 18?Yes | buy | 2.4 | $0.982 | $2.36 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 17?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.998 | $2.16 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.982 | $2.11 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.983 | $2.58 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 16?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.987 | $3.01 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Was Milei hacked?No | buy | 3.22 | $0.994 | $3.2 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 14?Yes | buy | 7.08 | $0.987 | $6.99 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will the House pass a budget resolution by Friday?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.999 | $5.8 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 AfD banned before German election?No | buy | 3.34 | $0.996 | $3.33 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.993 | $3.63 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by February 14?No | buy | 4.24 | $0.996 | $4.22 | Feb 13, 2025 |