Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 21% on 15 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 15 Mar 2025 to 17 Mar 2025, the highest close was 21% on 15 Mar 2025 and the lowest 2.1% on 17 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 8.5% on 16 Mar 2025. $102.19K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 15 Mar 2025 – 17 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2025 | 21.0% |
| 17 Mar 2025 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| johnnyA | No | 0.1 |
| paulapaulson | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on March 16, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No” In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-issue-an-executive-order-on-march-16
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