Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 12% on 4 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2025 to 8 Mar 2025, the highest close was 12% on 4 Mar 2025 and the lowest 1.4% on 8 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.1 points down, to 6.9% on 5 Mar 2025. $8.48K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 11:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 4 Mar 2025 – 8 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2025 | 12.0% |
| 8 Mar 2025 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| asafpopritkin | Yes | 364.18 |
| KangZeta | Yes | 130.51 |
| redsertool | No | 0.05 |
| Thalathat-Wathalathun | No | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancelation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-friday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| BigSmolE | No | 0.02 |
| low.iq.games | No | 0.02 |
