Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 11.54 | $0.953 | $11.44 | +$0.44 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 11.54 | $0.953 | $11 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.05 |
| $0.974 |
| $2 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 12.09 | $0.910 | $11 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.988 | $1.94 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.971 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.981 | $3 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.960 | $1.56 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.948 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by August 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.983 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 11.16 | $0.986 | $11 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.997 | $3.95 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 11.18 | $0.984 | $11 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel in May?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | May 20, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.987 | $10 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.810 | $1.1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.947 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensYes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 11.2 | $0.977 | $10.94 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 10.86 | $0.930 | $10.1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid exploit before February?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.997 | $1.3 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 29.06 | $0.040 | $1.18 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.980 | $1.1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 2.54 | $0.984 | $2.5 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 US bank failure before July?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 East coast port strike in January?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.540 | $1.5 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 New pandemic before July?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Megaquake in January?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.930 | $1.2 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Dittman tweet between 70 and 79 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | sell | 10.16 | $0.170 | $1.73 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 20-27?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.050 | $1.35 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 GPT-5 released in 2024?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Dec 21, 2024 |