Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 23 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 23 Jan 2026 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 12.5% on 23 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.3 points down, to 3.1% on 24 Jan 2026. $202.76K traded over the market's life.
109 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 23 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | 12.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| o-0 | Yes | 3.75K |
| slowkoala | Yes | 3.65K |
| L4nz | Yes | 3.43K |
| userborn1985 | Yes | 3.22K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison is confirmed to be in a romantic relationship with any man between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Confirmation must come directly from Caroline Ellison or their official representative(s), or a wide consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/caroline-ellison-new-boyfriend-by-january-31
| Uncommon-Childhood | Yes | 2.38K |
| 0xblesd | Yes | 1.97K |
| Acidic-Disposer | Yes | 1.5K |
| alpaca | Yes | 1.38K |
| Delectable-Scene | Yes | 1.2K |
| CaptainTuna | Yes | 1.15K |
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