Latest trade
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:52 PM UTC.
Analytics
alpaca is down $4.88K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:52 PM UTC.
$100 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 20 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Aug 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 7.91K | $0.227 | $830.69 | -$964.09 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 351.76 | $0.142 | $50 | 21d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-16 17:43 UTC
Polymarket public position response
19 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 20:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 20:52 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-16 17:43 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $16.51K and losing ones cost $8.23K across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.08K on “Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs” (Team Spirit); the largest loss, $1K on “Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Oct 2026. It has traded 307 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.57K across 19 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 7.74K |
| $0.130 |
| $541.85 |
| -$464.44 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 494.85 | $0.580 | $383.51 | +$96.42 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.93K | $0.575 | $222.29 | -$889.71 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 3.22K | $0.107 | $177.05 | -$168.79 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.129 | $157.5 | +$7.5 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 351.76 | $0.142 | $68.59 | +$18.59 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | Yes | 528.71 | $0.189 | $55.51 | -$44.48 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | Yes | 999.13 | $0.100 | $35.47 | -$64.53 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | Yes | 1.47K | $0.020 | $26.51 | -$3.49 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 469.09 | $0.106 | $23.22 | -$26.78 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? | Yes | 6.78K | $0.002 | $13.57 | -$3.13 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | Yes | 401.6 | $0.019 | $13.25 | +$5.62 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 405.69 | $0.049 | $7.51 | -$12.49 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? | Yes | 1.7K | $0.008 | $5.1 | -$8.5 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? | Yes | 854.8 | $0.023 | $4.7 | -$15.3 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? | Yes | 1.24K | $0.014 | $1.86 | -$14.99 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.007 | $1.72 | -$5.93 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? | Yes | 220.8 | $0.090 | $0.22 | -$19.78 |
| buy |
| 833.33 |
| $0.120 |
| $100 |
| 21d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | 22d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 631.55 | $0.079 | $50 | 22d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.008 | $13.15 | 23d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 38.25 | $0.008 | $0.31 | 24d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.05 | $0.008 | $0.06 | 25d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.4 | $0.008 | $0.08 | 25d ago |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 386.34 | $0.720 | $278.16 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 342.73 | $0.090 | $30.85 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.150 | $50 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 408.16 | $0.424 | $173.11 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.076 | $143.74 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 254.24 | $0.850 | $216.1 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 619.2 | $0.105 | $65 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 84.74 | $0.780 | $66.1 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Yes | buy | 401.59 | $0.019 | $7.63 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.010 | $10 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.060 | $60 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 117.75 | $0.110 | $12.95 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | buy | 418.71 | $0.070 | $29.31 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 156.79 | $0.100 | $15.68 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.31 | $0.470 | $87.1 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.090 | $100 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
 Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z | buy | 549.74 | $0.728 | $400 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No | buy | 611.27 | $0.082 | $50 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 639.38 | $0.156 | $100 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 306.66 | $0.652 | $200 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 79.69 | $0.640 | $51 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.74K | $0.002 | $11.48 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will valve announce no hero as the new hero at The International 2026?Yes | sell | 664.55 | $0.999 | $663.89 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
 Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit | sell | 7.91K | $0.999 | $7.9K | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit | buy | 7.91K | $0.470 | $3.72K | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerTeam Spirit | buy | 833.33 | $0.120 | $100 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerTeam Spirit | buy | 714.29 | $0.140 | $100 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerTeam Spirit | buy | 1.59K | $0.252 | $400 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTEAM VISION | sell | 3.58K | $0.390 | $1.4K | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerTeam Spirit | buy | 1.36K | $0.440 | $600 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTEAM VISION | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit | sell | 1.09K | $0.800 | $870.25 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit | sell | 69.11 | $0.830 | $57.36 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit | sell | 932.78 | $0.448 | $417.45 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit | buy | 889.71 | $0.450 | $400 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTEAM VISION | sell | 1.5K | $0.500 | $750 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit | sell | 400 | $0.500 | $200 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit | buy | 1.6K | $0.500 | $800 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION | sell | 1.48K | $0.963 | $1.43K | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION | buy | 500 | $0.400 | $200 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.