Analytics
alpaca is down $4.88K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 7.91K | $0.227 | $830.69 | -$964.09 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-16 17:43 UTC
Polymarket public position response
19 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 01:28 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 01:28 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-16 17:43 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $16.51K and losing ones cost $8.23K across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.08K on “Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs” (Team Spirit); the largest loss, $1K on “Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?” (Yes).
It has traded 307 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.68K across 19 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 7.74K |
| $0.130 |
| $599.9 |
| -$406.39 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 494.85 | $0.580 | $398.36 | +$111.26 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.93K | $0.575 | $222.29 | -$889.71 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 3.22K | $0.107 | $209.24 | -$136.6 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.129 | $157.5 | +$7.5 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 351.76 | $0.142 | $61.56 | +$11.56 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | Yes | 528.71 | $0.189 | $55.51 | -$44.48 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | Yes | 999.13 | $0.100 | $35.47 | -$64.53 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | Yes | 1.47K | $0.020 | $24.3 | -$5.69 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 469.09 | $0.106 | $23.22 | -$26.78 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | Yes | 401.6 | $0.019 | $15.46 | +$7.83 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 405.69 | $0.049 | $15.01 | -$4.99 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? | Yes | 6.78K | $0.002 | $13.57 | -$3.13 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? | Yes | 1.7K | $0.008 | $5.95 | -$7.65 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? | Yes | 854.8 | $0.023 | $4.7 | -$15.3 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? | Yes | 1.24K | $0.014 | $1.86 | -$14.99 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.007 | $1.72 | -$5.93 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? | Yes | 220.8 | $0.090 | $0.33 | -$19.67 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
