East coast port strike in January?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$159.7K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 1, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Feb 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 14% on 24 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 101 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2024 to 1 Feb 2025, the highest close was 63.5% on 14 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 63.5% on 14 Nov 2024. $159.75K traded over the market's life.

198 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 7:53 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 101 points, 24 Oct 2024 – 1 Feb 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Oct 2024	14.0%
1 Feb 2025	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
thered	Yes	1.61K
GyroGearloose	Yes	844.44
Randhawa	Yes	807.47

10 of 198 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On October 3, the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) announced that it had reached a deal to suspend its three-day strike until Jan. 15 to provide time to negotiate a new contract (see: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/port-strike-ends-tentative-deal-until-jan-15-dockworkers/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ILA or its leadership declares or announces a strike affecting any US East Coast or Gulf Coast port at any point in January 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the ILA announces a new deal which would avert any US East Coast or Gulf Coast port strike through January of 2025, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the ILA however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.