Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 28% on 24 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 99 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 28% on 24 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 9% on 25 Jan 2025. $87.68K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 7:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 99 points, 24 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2024 | 28.0% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Maven A8C1 | Yes | 2.82K |
| solamii | Yes | 1.59K |
| mybadderhalf | No | 153.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the release date of GPT-5.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-gpt-5-be-released
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 101.3 |
| betbetbetbet123 | Yes | 95.85 |
| B3ARD | Yes | 74.44 |
| Jolish | Yes | 66.67 |
| riproar44 | Yes | 55.56 |
| tmaystro | Yes | 48.26 |
| Hoyden808 | Yes | 40 |
