Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 38.61 | $0.510 | $18.34 | -$1.35 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 38.61 | $0.510 | $19.69 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 13.16 |
| $0.380 |
| $5.33 |
| +$0.33 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 36.76 | $0.136 | $4.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 43.83 | $0.023 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.240 | $0.55 | -$1.85 |
| buy |
| 36.76 |
| $0.136 |
| $5 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 43.83 | $0.023 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.03 | $0.870 | $27 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETDown | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETUp | sell | 14.28 | $0.520 | $7.43 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETUp | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETUp | sell | 17.85 | $0.140 | $2.5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETUp | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETUp | sell | 250 | $0.070 | $17.5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETUp | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the White House Press Secretary say "President" 30+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Yes | buy | 7.53 | $0.790 | $5.95 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 8.66 | $0.070 | $0.61 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETUp | buy | 42.94 | $0.020 | $0.86 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.878 | $8.78 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.007 | $1.4 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown | buy | 85.74 | $0.010 | $0.86 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown | buy | 17.18 | $0.020 | $0.34 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 27.56 | $0.666 | $18.36 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 18.75 | $0.010 | $0.19 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.140 | $2.52 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.016 | $0.23 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 15.46 | $0.570 | $8.81 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | sell | 20.14 | $0.826 | $16.64 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.15 | $0.670 | $13.5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Tariffs" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.065 | $2 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will Buffett say "Trump" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?Yes | buy | 16.25 | $0.480 | $7.8 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.160 | $2.67 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.500 | $7.5 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 26, 2025 |