
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 81 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 68.5% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1.3% on 31 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 51 points down, to 13% on 30 Jan 2026. $303.22K traded over the market's life.
169 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 1 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| farar | Yes | 600.12 |
| Modest-Surge | Yes | 560 |
| Hazaswine | Yes | 540 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
TrumpRx (https://trumprx.gov/) is scheduled to launch in January 2026 and is intended to help consumers access lower-cost medications by directing them to manufacturers’ direct-to-consumer purchasing channels. This market will resolve to "Yes" if TrumpRx.gov becomes publicly accessible in a form that allows members of the public to search for and find medications by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the site must be publicly accessible and operational in at least a limited capacity, meaning it functions in its intended portal role by allowing users to search for or view medications and be redirected to purchase them. Glitches or minor technical issues will not render the site non-functional, provided the core portal functionality remains available to the public. Once the qualifying functionality goes live, the market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, regardless of any subsequent reversal, rollback, or withdrawal of access. This market will resolve to "No" if TrumpRx.gov becomes permanently unavailable. The primary resolution source for this market will be TrumpRx.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trumprx-launched-by-january-31-2026
| Yes |
| 502.24 |
| Exalted-Stable | Yes | 500 |
| GasTransFreaks | Yes | 452.75 |
| e6r8gkNUg | Yes | 410 |
| gaga32 | Yes | 408.3 |
| Neskvo | Yes | 407.08 |
| Definitive-Contention | Yes | 362 |
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