
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 202 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2024 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 15% on 18 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2025. $345.78K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 202 points, 12 Dec 2024 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2024 | 11.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dogtheorist2 | Yes | 9.05K |
| sd2333 | Yes | 6.9K |
| ADudeEgg | No | 2.5K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between December 9, 2024 and June 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-pandemic-before-july
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Naraguchi | Yes | 1.62K |
| cjSt | Yes | 1.17K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 800 |
| notfrog | Yes | 610.53 |
| gdizzle | Yes | 400.25 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 285.56 |
| whalefomo.eth | Yes | 107.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.