Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 10.23 |
| $0.400 |
| $4.09 |
| Aug 12, 2025 |
 Bird flu vaccine in 2025?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.090 | $4.09 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?No | buy | 33.06 | $0.994 | $32.86 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | sell | 4.55K | $0.001 | $4.83 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.55K | $0.004 | $20 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Dvalishvili vs. NurmagomedovNurmagomedov | buy | 21.51 | $0.720 | $15.49 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Makhachev vs. TsarukyanTsarukyan | sell | 20.92 | $0.480 | $10.04 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Makhachev vs. TsarukyanTsarukyan | buy | 20.92 | $0.239 | $5 | Jan 11, 2025 |
| Bird flu vaccine in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Kai and Speed win Fortnite before midnight?Yes | sell | 185.95 | $0.110 | $20.45 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Kai and Speed win Fortnite before midnight?Yes | buy | 185.95 | $0.200 | $37.19 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?No | sell | 53.26 | $0.698 | $37.19 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?No | buy | 53.33 | $0.709 | $37.81 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 38.94 | $0.971 | $37.81 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 38.94 | $0.972 | $37.85 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Trudeau out before April?Yes | sell | 55.66 | $0.680 | $37.85 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Trudeau out before April?Yes | buy | 55.66 | $0.710 | $39.52 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | sell | 106.43 | $0.371 | $39.52 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | buy | 106.44 | $0.390 | $41.51 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?No | sell | 41.89 | $0.991 | $41.51 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?No | buy | 41.91 | $0.994 | $41.68 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 New pandemic before July?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.120 | $3.75 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.540 | $31.76 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.610 | $18.48 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?No | sell | 115.92 | $0.180 | $20.87 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?No | buy | 115.92 | $0.060 | $7 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.510 | $30 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will someone else be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.033 | $2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 44.91 | $0.417 | $18.73 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 44.92 | $0.423 | $19 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 54.01 | $0.577 | $31.16 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 54.01 | $0.648 | $35 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Whittaker vs. ChimaevChimaev | sell | 52.94 | $0.998 | $52.83 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Whittaker vs. ChimaevChimaev | buy | 52.94 | $0.680 | $36 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 32.88 | $0.638 | $20.98 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 583.33 | $0.012 | $7 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.620 | $6.32 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 32.88 | $0.517 | $17 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel before November?No | buy | 292.52 | $0.205 | $60 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.360 | $12 | Jun 29, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $3,500 on June 28?No | buy | 12.04 | $0.820 | $9.87 | Jun 27, 2024 |