Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 55% on 18 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 123 daily closes on record from 18 Jun 2024 to 18 Oct 2024, the highest close was 99.8% on 18 Oct 2024 and the lowest 7.5% on 9 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 22.5% on 18 Sep 2024. $76.9M traded over the market's life.
631 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 12:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 123 points, 18 Jun 2024 – 18 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jun 2024 | 55.0% |
| 18 Oct 2024 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RealVasya | No | 2M |
| ThanksForMoney | No | 962.95K |
| somerandomname | No | 917.23K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive, definitive evidence emerges that Donald Trump was involved in the deployment of a new token by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution for this market will be based on a consensus of credible sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-launch-a-coin-before-the-election
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 831.28K |
| fsdgfdfg | No | 670.94K |
| Yofoxjoke | No | 602.68K |
| AlienXBT | No | 417.21K |
| Gribobas | No | 334.41K |
| SerMEg | No | 329.99K |
| Naturalnoob | No | 304.59K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
