Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 90.5%. Yes opened at 79% on 17 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2024 to 6 Jan 2025, the highest close was 90.5% on 6 Jan 2025 and the lowest 63.5% on 25 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 89% on 21 Dec 2024. $425.13K traded over the market's life.
95 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 5:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 17 Dec 2024 – 6 Jan 2025, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2024 | 79.0% |
| 6 Jan 2025 | 90.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Johnbonjovi4887 | No | 1.86K |
| dharmacat | No | 1.68K |
| crixoule | No | 1.64K |
| Impulse8592 | No | 1.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as Prime Minister of Canada or otherwise ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time between December 15, 2024 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains in office to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trudeau-out-before-april
New to prediction markets?
| tannybets | No | 896.23 |
| tab | Yes | 758.4 |
| Productive-Dust | No | 647.57 |
| BDOG94 | No | 610.55 |
| ptolts | No | 400.75 |
| Cactusman77 | No | 375 |
