Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.44 | $0.640 | $15 | Feb 27, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 81.07 |
| $0.493 |
| $40 |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.066 | $4 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 293.88 | $0.003 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.420 | $50 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 94.34 | $0.530 | $50 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.760 | $40 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.860 | $40 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 23.08 | $0.260 | $6 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 53.85 | $0.260 | $14 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 204.21 | $0.190 | $38.8 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 358.33 | $0.014 | $5 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.167 | $10 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 116.97 | $0.128 | $15 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 318.78 | $0.063 | $20 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?No | buy | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?No | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?No | buy | 266.67 | $0.150 | $40 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Trudeau out before April?No | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Trudeau out before April?No | buy | 467.15 | $0.043 | $20 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Trudeau out before April?No | buy | 250 | $0.040 | $10 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Trudeau out before April?No | buy | 524.47 | $0.038 | $20 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?No | buy | 315.6 | $0.158 | $50 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Starmer out before July?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.560 | $42 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.570 | $100 | Dec 29, 2024 |